✶✶✶ 2022 Political Predictions ✶✶✶

[Ranger2]

Hello, everyone!

As we ring in the new year, I am happy to announce the newest round of political predictions!

The rules are simple: Below are a series of predictions about upcoming events that are expected to happen in 2022. Reply by January 10th, 2022 to the questions. You may change your answers until January 10th if you wish.

Each question will be worth one point. Throughout the year, I will keep tabs on who has made correct predictions. If one of these questions comes to fruition before January 10th, I will strike it from the count.

For ease of grading, each prediction will have a multiple choice format. Please do not try to write-in your own answer, or it will not be counted. That means no responses of "maybe, if X happens" or "Yes if X happens, but No if Y happens."

With that said, enjoy!

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

Yes/No

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes/No

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

Yes/No

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

40,000 or higher/Between 30,000 and 40,000/Under 30,000

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

Yes/No

10: The January 6th Commission will result in

Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes/No

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes/No

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes/No

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

Yes/No

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Yes/No

16: India will surpass China in population

Yes/No

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

Yes/No

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

Yes/No

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

Yes/No

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

Yes/No

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

Yes/No

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

Yes/No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Yes/No

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

Yes/No

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes/No

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

Yes/No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

Yes/No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

Yes/No

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II

Yes/No

Betty White

Yes/No

Dick Van Dyke

Yes/No

Jimmy Carter

Yes/No

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

Yes/No

William Shatner

Yes/No

James Earl Jones

Yes/No

Clint Eastwood

Yes/No

Angela Lansbury

Yes/No

Buzz Aldrin

Yes/No

[Ranger2]

Two corrections

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 
805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million

This is US deaths only

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/

At the end of 2022.

[DamnedByFate]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: 1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

Based more on hope, but no.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes.

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

1.2-1.5 million

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

Yes.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

40,000 or higher.

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Not be raised.

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

Take the house only.

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

I have no idea who this is, but I'll go with yes.

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

This may again be wishful thinking, but I still hope Biden bows out and Harris takes over, so this'll be a no.

10: The January 6th Commission will result in

No indictment.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No.

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

In keeping with question 9, I'll say yes, and it'll be Kamala Harris.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

No.

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Yes.

16: India will surpass China in population

No.

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

The way the question is worded, I have to say yes, but I do predict he'll fall later on by party coup.

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

Yes.

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

Less than 5 trillion.

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

No. (Consider this an uneducated guess, I don't think anybody keeps up with Micronesian politics)

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

No.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

No.

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

Yes.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Yes.

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

No.

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes.

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No.

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No.

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

No.

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II

No.

Betty White

No.

Dick Van Dyke

That guy is still alive?! Make that a yes.

Jimmy Carter

No.

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

No idea about that guy's age. I'll say yes.

William Shatner

No.

James Earl Jones

No.

Clint Eastwood

No.

Angela Lansbury

Yes.

Buzz Aldrin

No.

[GenericDungeonSlime]

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

No

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

No

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

Pass

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

Yes

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

Pass

: 6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Have been raised once

: 7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

Take Both

: 8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

Pass

: 9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

Yes

: 10: The January 6th Commission will result in

no indictment

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

No. At the very least it will be competitive. I am personally hopeful the far right, which looks like his biggest opponent, will take it.

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Yes

16: India will surpass China in population

Pass

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

No

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

Pass

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

Greater than 5 trillion

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

Pass

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

No, invasion of airspace is likely

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

No

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Pass

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

Yes

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

Yes

[AstroBot-99]

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

Yeah shit happens

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Again yes and I’m not gonna take it I just got two shots

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

805,000-1.2 million

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

No

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

Between 30,000 and 40,000

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Will not be raised

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will take

Both

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

No, he will lose the general election

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

No

10: The January 6th Commission will result in

indictment but trial not until after 2022

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes

16: India will surpass China in population

No

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
Yes

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia
Yes

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)
Yes

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
Yes

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Yes

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

No

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

Yes

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

Yes

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II

No

Betty White

Yes

Dick Van Dyke

Yes/

Jimmy Carter

No

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

Yes

William Shatner

No

James Earl Jones

Yes

Clint Eastwood

Yes

Angela Lansbury

Yes

Buzz Aldrin

Yes (And I’ll deeply mess that man. The Space Cowboy.)

[JizzyJazz]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: 1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

yeah, probably.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

no

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

greater than 1.5 million for sure. i reckon there's gonna be another variant beyond omicron and it's gonna fuck people up even more.

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

no, but i wouldn't put it past them if they do anyway.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

i don't know what this means.

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Have been raised once

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

Take the Senate only. I think more people are going to be looking for a return to republicanism and conservatism pre-Trump.

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

sure, i guess? i don't really know the guy.

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

Yes

10: The January 6th Commission will result in

no indictment. let's be honest, if bill clinton totally gets away with being an associate to a child sex trafficker, then trump will get away with being a domestic terrorist. no question.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No. I think he's purposefully waiting out people like ted cruz, ron desantis, nikki haley etc. to announce their run so that his announcement overshadows them all. the guy is a pro at getting the media's attention.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes, definitely

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yep. Can't wait for The Rock to be on the ballot.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

I'm not sure about this one. I'd have to see who he's running against.

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Yes

16: India will surpass China in population

Maaaaaaaaybe. It remains to be seen if new covid variants show up that totally ravage india again and offset their population growth. You gotta take into account that the pandemic probably stunted the birth rate by a good amount aswell.

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

Sure? Who gives a shit about australia's PM

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

Yes

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

Less than 5 trillion. Could go both ways though, i'm just wildly guessing here.

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

?? what?

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

No

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

Yes

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

Yes

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Yes

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

Yes

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

No

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

No

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Ooh, this one is fun.

Queen Elizabeth II

No

Betty White

Yes. I think 100 is a good age to go.

Dick Van Dyke

Yes. the guy is starting to look like a corpse. reminds me of prince phillip before he died.

Jimmy Carter

No. His peanut farm will not go sour for another year or so.

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

No idea who this is. I wish him well.

William Shatner

No

James Earl Jones

No

Clint Eastwood

No

Angela Lansbury

Yes. Wild guess

Buzz Aldrin

No, I hope not.

[CruuazyBananas]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: Hello, everyone!

As we ring in the new year, I am happy to announce the newest round of political predictions!

The rules are simple: Below are a series of predictions about upcoming events that are expected to happen in 2022. Reply by January 10th, 2022 to the questions. You may change your answers until January 10th if you wish.

Each question will be worth one point. Throughout the year, I will keep tabs on who has made correct predictions. If one of these questions comes to fruition before January 10th, I will strike it from the count.

For ease of grading, each prediction will have a multiple choice format. Please do not try to write-in your own answer, or it will not be counted. That means no responses of "maybe, if X happens" or "Yes if X happens, but No if Y happens."

With that said, enjoy!

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant
Yes

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 
No

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 
805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million
Yes
4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders
Yes

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be
40,000 or higher/Between 30,000 and 40,000/Under 30,000
No
6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 
Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower
No
7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will
Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither
No
8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election
Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election
Yes
9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022
Yes/No
Yes
10: The January 6th Commission will result in
Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment
Yes
11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
No

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
No

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes

16: India will surpass China in population
Yes

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
No

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion
Yes
20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia
Yes

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)
Yes

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
No

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state
No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election
Yes

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed
Yes

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
No

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes

Betty White
No

Dick Van Dyke
No

Jimmy Carter
Yes

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)
Yes

William Shatner
No

James Earl Jones
Yes

Clint Eastwood
Yes

Angela Lansbury
Yes

Buzz Aldrin
No

[Fim]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: Hello, everyone!

As we ring in the new year, I am happy to announce the newest round of political predictions!

The rules are simple: Below are a series of predictions about upcoming events that are expected to happen in 2022. Reply by January 10th, 2022 to the questions. You may change your answers until January 10th if you wish.

coooooool

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant
Yes/No

No. *Also not quite sure what those districts would be? But I don’t think there’d be appetite for those restrictions at this late stage of the game.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 
Yes/No

Yes. Some people will have already been on 4, ie those who got shots early in the panda, seems likely boosters will be an annual thing.

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 
805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million

Mmmmm.. tough one.. Will go with the lower end estimate.

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders
Yes/No

No. For all their faults China aren’t that deluded.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be
40,000 or higher/Between 30,000 and 40,000/Under 30,000

Very tough to predict.. I’d go with above 40k

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 
Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower

Once.

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will
Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither

Take a majority in the house and senate. Unfortunately.

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election
Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election

Georgia’s become a tricky customer to predict. I’d say doesn’t get primaried and wins the general

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022
Yes/No

Easy yes.

10: The January 6th Commission will result in
Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment

No indictment, seeming as the GOP have lost their mind and won’t even admit Jan 6 was a bad thing. We’re talking about a man with zero class or shame and who has the right wing media ecosystem in his pocket.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Easy yes. He pretty much already has.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Another easy yes.

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Tough.. No. Wouldn’t be surprised if someone does though

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes/No

He’s had a dip in public approval since his peak.. Feels like he’ll still win though, although I’ve not kept my finger on this particular pulse so it’s more of a guess.

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes/No

lol. Yes

16: India will surpass China in population
Yes/No

I’m being a good boy and not googling their current populations.. From memory they aren’t far behind, but a year is only a year.. I’d say No

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
Yes/No

No.

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes/No

Their elections have become a farce and a lot of Hong Kongers realise this and have stopped even voting. Beijing wants her, so yes she’ll win.

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion

Oh lawd.. Another stat I’m too lazy to google.. I’d say more

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia
Yes/No

No (idea).

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)
Yes/No

No.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
Yes/No

Yes?

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state
Yes/No

No. Outside chance China will, but that’d be oddly provocative and out of character.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election
Yes/No

Go on then.

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed
Yes/No

GREAT question. It looks dead in the water to me, but who knows if prime minister Joe Manchin will have a change of heart. I think not.

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes/No

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
Yes/No

No

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes/No

No. Her mother lived to be 100+, she’s still got a few years left I reckon.

Betty White
Yes/No

Yes

Dick Van Dyke
Yes/No

Yes

Jimmy Carter
Yes/No

No

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)
Yes/No

No

William Shatner
Yes/No

No

James Earl Jones
Yes/No

Yes

Clint Eastwood
Yes/No

No. He’s still been relatively active churning out a conveyor belt of underwhelming thwacks to his cinematic legacy.

Angela Lansbury
Yes/No

Na

Buzz Aldrin
Yes/No

Yes

I had fun ! Hello me in 12 months ! 👋

[Fim]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: Hello, everyone

Betty White
Yes/No

Hey I already got one right !

[FinaLee]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: Betty White
Yes/No

Guess there was one thing left on the docket before 2022 rolled in

[Gimmick]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: 1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

No. I think people, and administrations by extension, have largely given up with omicron.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes.

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

805,000-1.2 million. I would say somewhere near 1.1 million.

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

No, at least not internally.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

40,000 or higher. Stonks only go up.

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

I have no clue at all. I'll go with "Have been raised once."

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

I have no clue which one is which. I'll go with "Both".

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

I have no idea who they are. I'll go with "No, he will lose".

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

Yes.

10: The January 6th Commission will result in

Seeing as things seem to be going at their own pace, I'll go with "indictment but trial not until after 2022."

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Does the pope shit in the woods? I'll go with Yes.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes.

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes. Whether anything comes of it or not.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

Could go either way, I'll say Yes.

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Do they have a choice? I say he'll stay.

16: India will surpass China in population

Given that roughly 50 million people need to be born in the next year in India for that, and the number of births on average is 25 million, it's unlikely, so "No".

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

Yes.

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

"Win". "Re-election".

Yes (with 156% of the votes if I'm being cheeky)

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

I have no clue. I'll say "Greater than 5 trillion".

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

I have no clue. "No".

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

Probably. But I'll go with "No" just in case.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

Have no clue what that is. "No".

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

No.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

No.

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

I thought it already was? I'll go with "Yes".

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

No. Or it will be held with no tourists allowed.

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No clue. No.

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No clue. No.

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

No clue. Yes.

Queen Elizabeth II

Yes

Betty White

Already did.

Dick Van Dyke

He's still alive!?

...Yes.

Jimmy Carter

Can go either way. I'll say "No" since he's a former president.

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

No.

William Shatner

No.

James Earl Jones

No.

Clint Eastwood

No.

Angela Lansbury

No.

Buzz Aldrin

No.

[EdyKel]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: Hello, everyone!

As we ring in the new year, I am happy to announce the newest round of political predictions!

The rules are simple: Below are a series of predictions about upcoming events that are expected to happen in 2022. Reply by January 10th, 2022 to the questions. You may change your answers until January 10th if you wish.

Each question will be worth one point. Throughout the year, I will keep tabs on who has made correct predictions. If one of these questions comes to fruition before January 10th, I will strike it from the count.

For ease of grading, each prediction will have a multiple choice format. Please do not try to write-in your own answer, or it will not be counted. That means no responses of "maybe, if X happens" or "Yes if X happens, but No if Y happens."

With that said, enjoy!

Thanks for doing it, again. And Again, these are some pretty tough questions with all that going on in this country and the world

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant
Yes/No

No. While some school districts are already planning to do remote learning at the start of 2022, most aren't. Most of the the largest School districts in the country are in Texas, and in Florida, and given how the governors of those states believe in getting to herd immunity quickly (regardless of cost) and have constancy battled any school response towards it, its unlikely we will see remote learning in those state. New York is trying a new approach to keep Children safe in school, and have shown little interest in going back to remote learning despite rising infection rates in their state. I think a lot of school districts feel that Kids are more able to weather out the symptoms of covid than older people, with a feeling that most older people are now vaccinated.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 
Yes/No

No.

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 
805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million

805,000-1.2 million

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders
Yes/No

Yes. I'm sure they will claim it - if they haven't already, despite what is going on in Xi’an.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be
40,000 or higher/Between 30,000 and 40,000/Under 30,000

40,000 or higher

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 
Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower

Raised once. I may regret that answer, since I see a lot of reluctance from the fed to raise it despite saying otherwise.

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will
Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither

Both. I'm feeling pessimistic about this, considering that Democrats have historically been very bad over messaging, compared to Republicans over promises, doom and gloom, and identity politics, to excite their base to come out and vote - not to mention Republicans efforts to create a lot o bureaucracy over voting, making it harder for poorer people to vote and determining what districts have stronger representation that goes their way.

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election
Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election

Yes. I'm just going to flip a coin here, and it came up with Kemp staying in office. That's how uncertain things are over this election. I do expect Jones to drop out of the primary, if he want to keep a Republican in the governorship, but Trumpism could force him to stay in to allow Abrams to win by siphoning off votes from Kemp.

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022
Yes/No

Yes.

10: The January 6th Commission will result in
Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment

Indictment but trial not until after 2022. These things move slowly, and Trump has money and influence to keep it dragged out.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

No. At least, not this year, unless he thinks he can make money from it.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

No. This is made all the more iffy with Trumpism, as the only one who want to run for the white House are looking at Trump. Only those who rebuke Trump, and don't fear him, may announce their run.

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

No.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes/No

Yes. But reluctantly, given all the chaos in France at the moment

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes/No

Yes. Is this even a question? :P

16: India will surpass China in population
Yes/No

No, not quite yet, but soon.

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
Yes/No

No. From the sounds of things, with the labor party in Australia gaining a strong advantage in the polls going into the election, Morison is in trouble.

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes/No

Yes. I don't think she done enough to piss off the CCP. So, she'll probably keep here job, even if she is not very popular.

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion

Greater than 5 trillion....

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia
Yes/No

Yes. I honestly had to look this up.

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)
Yes/No

No.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
Yes/No

No. Biden was brave on Afghanistan, But I don't think he would be crazy enough to do this.

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state
Yes/No

No. Though, China might, since they want to exploiy the country's natural resources of rare earth metals.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election
Yes/No

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed
Yes/No

Yes. I will be optimistic over this, despite Joe Manchin's flip flopping.

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes/No

Yes. What covid? China has no covid!

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

NO. I wish they would, though.

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
Yes/No

NO. Despite all the saber rattling, the economic sanction are hurting them, and so will the embargo on their oil to Europe if he follows through.

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes/No

Betty White
Yes/No

Dick Van Dyke
Yes/No

Jimmy Carter
Yes/No

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)
Yes/No

William Shatner
Yes/No

James Earl Jones
Yes/No

Clint Eastwood
Yes/No

Angela Lansbury
Yes/No

Buzz Aldrin
Yes/No

I was going to say the Betty White will outlast them all, till she just died.... But, I'm not going to even speculate over any of this.

[orangebomb]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: Hello, everyone!

I love these things, now I just hope I do better this year.

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant
Yes/No

No.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 
Yes/No

Yes. I had no idea we are even close to that already.

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 
805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million

805,000-1.2 million. You’d think that the deaths will start leveling off sooner or later.

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders
Yes/No

Considering how secretive they have been, I’ll go with no.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be
40,000 or higher/Between 30,000 and 40,000/Under 30,000

Between 30,000 and 40,000. I’ll say around 38,000 give or take.

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 
Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower

Have been raised once. Not sure, but I’ll ride with this answer.

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will
Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither

Senate only. Dems may hold on to the House, but the Senate is prime pickings.

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election
Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election

Lose the general election. Can’t imagine that he’s too popular after a narrow victory and Georgia turning blue (for now)

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022
Yes/No

Yes

10: The January 6th Commission will result in
Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment

Indictment but trial not until after 2022. I would imagine that they’ll take their time with this, if the GOP doesn’t try to quash it in the meantime.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Yes. Age and reputation means he’ll bow out early, but never say never.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Yes.

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

No. I would imagine that they would want to have solidarity within the party.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes/No

Yes

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes/No

Going out on a limb and say yes.

16: India will surpass China in population
Yes/No

No, but it’ll be close.

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
Yes/No

No

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes/No

IDK how they do elections within the HKSAR, so I’ll go yes.

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion

Greater than 5 trillion. China may have a huge economy, but the gap is still pretty wide.

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia
Yes/No

No

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)
Yes/No

No. Xi Jingping is a bloodthirsty cur, but he’s not stupid to risk a war with much of the rest of the world over Taiwan.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
Yes/No

No.

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state
Yes/No

Yes, I’m afraid. My guess would be either Syria, Iran or Venezuela as posturing.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election
Yes/No

Yes

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed
Yes/No

Yes. A scaled down version, but something is better than nothing.

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes/No

Yes. Unlike Japan, China isn’t going to let a pandemic derail their games.

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
Yes/No

No. Russia is pulling troops back, and I would imagine they don’t want to get more sanctions than they already have now.

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Yeah... I’m not going to touch this. Famous people are already dying like John Madden, Harry Reid and Betty White.

[Ranger2]

I'll throw my hat in the ring, although I will not count my responses for points.

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

Yes, although not Chicago's.

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes, they've already begun recommending 4th shots to some.

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

1.2-1.5 million

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

Yes

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

40,000 or higher, the pandemic will end at some point this year so stocks will rise.

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Have been raised twice or more, stronger economy and cut inflation.

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

Both

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

No, he will be primaried out of the race. He's lost Trump and the GOP for good. Wouldn't be surprised if he got kicked out of the party.

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

Yes

10: The January 6th Commission will result in

no indictment, the same congress will save his ass.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

Yes, to thunderous applause from his sheep.

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No, Ted Cruz doesn't have the balls.

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

Yes

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Yes

16: India will surpass China in population

Yes

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

Yes

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

Yes

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

Less than 5 trillion

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

No

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

Yes, though not after the 2022 olympics when they've built up some soft power.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

Yes, the Iraqis are getting tired of us there and so is Biden.

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

Yes, likely Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, or China.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

No, he's been unpopular and seen as weak against Kim Jong-Un.

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

No, the infrastructure bill is all we'll get. Manchin will continue to be a mole for the GOP.

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No, they'll melt away.

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

Yes, maybe Kandahar. But not for long.

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

Yes. Biden's warnings will go unheeded.

Queen Elizabeth II

No

Betty White

Died in 2021

Dick Van Dyke

Yes

Jimmy Carter

Yes

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

No

William Shatner

No

James Earl Jones

No

Clint Eastwood

Yes

Angela Lansbury

No

Buzz Aldrin

Yes

[GenericDungeonSlime]

Still too early to tell since the election hasn't happened yet, but the Le Pen/Zemmour coalition is currently polling ahead of Macron, so I might be right about 14. The ideal scenario to me would be a Le Pen drop out because they would almost certainly line up behind Zemmour and I think he would take it.

Thing is, I actually like Macron. Only leader in Western Europe that articulates a vision I can believe in. So i'd be sad if he lost. But Zemmour is just better on all fronts to me.

[SatanBrain]

At 1/5/22 08:26 PM, GenericDungeonSlime wrote: Still too early to tell since the election hasn't happened yet, but the Le Pen/Zemmour coalition is currently polling ahead of Macron, so I might be right about 14. The ideal scenario to me would be a Le Pen drop out because they would almost certainly line up behind Zemmour and I think he would take it.

Thing is, I actually like Macron. Only leader in Western Europe that articulates a vision I can believe in. So i'd be sad if he lost. But Zemmour is just better on all fronts to me.

An African Jew defeating La Pen would be an amusing sight.

[Aaron-Chandler]

The right and left are going to use each other as an excuse to be assholes to everyone else because we aren't hitting them hard enough yet.

[Gario]

Crap, almost forgot about this. Er, it's 11:30pm where I am, hopefully I can still apply :P

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

No

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

1.2-1.5 million

I'm pretty bleak about Covid, but not that bleak...

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders

Yes; could've swore that they already did.

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

Between 30,000 and 40,000

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will

Have been raised once

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will

Both

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election

No, he will lose the general election

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022

Yes

10 The January 6th Commission will result in

indictment but trial not until after 2022

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election

No

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

Yes

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader

Yes

16: India will surpass China in population

No

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections

Yes, though I've no ide about Australia's politics atm

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

No

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be

Less than 5 trillion

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

No

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

No

... God, I hope not, anyway.

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced

No

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state

Yes

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Yes

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed

No

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

No

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Ooh, a morbid twist.

Queen Elizabeth II

Yes

Betty White

Yes

... Kinda cheating here tho.

Dick Van Dyke

Yes

Jimmy Carter

No

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)

No

William Shatner

No

James Earl Jones

No

Clint Eastwood

No

Angela Lansbury

No

Buzz Aldrin

Yes

Alright, best of luck y'all.

[The-Great-One]

At 12/28/21 08:32 PM, Ranger2 wrote: With that said, enjoy!

Sorry I'm late, been sick lately.

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant
Yes/No

No

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 
Yes/No

Yes

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 
805,000-1.2 million/1.2-1.5 million/greater than 1.5 million

I have hopes, 805,000-1.2 million.

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders
Yes/No

Yes

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be
40,000 or higher/Between 30,000 and 40,000/Under 30,000

40,000 or higher. I'll go as far to say between 50,000 to 65,000.

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 
Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower

Have been raised once.

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will
Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither

Take the House definitely. Unless Biden gets a PR win.

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election
Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election

Yes

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022
Yes/No

Yes

10: The January 6th Commission will result in
Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment

Indictment, but trial not until after 2022.

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Yes

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Yes

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Yes. Especially if Biden keeps dropping in the polls. I could see Hillary Clinton taking another shot at it.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes/No

Yes

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes/No

Yes

16: India will surpass China in population
Yes/No

No

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
Yes/No

Maybe, I'll say Yes, but I'm not confident in that Yes.

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes/No

Yes

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion

Greater than 5 trillion.

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia
Yes/No

No

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)
Yes/No

No

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
Yes/No

No

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state
Yes/No

No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election
Yes/No

Yes

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed
Yes/No

Yes. Republicans are pretty much trying to get what they want out of the deal too with money being thrown around. When it will be passed though is the real question, before or after the midterm elections.

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes/No

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

Yes

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
Yes/No

Yes

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes/No

No

Betty White
Yes/No

I'm late to this one.

Dick Van Dyke
Yes/No

No

Jimmy Carter
Yes/No

Yes

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)
Yes/No

No

William Shatner
Yes/No

No

James Earl Jones
Yes/No

No

Clint Eastwood
Yes/No

No

Angela Lansbury
Yes/No

Yes

Buzz Aldrin
Yes/No

Yes

[Ranger2]

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election

Thankfully, President Macron won re-election, the first French president to do so since 2002.

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

Carrie Lam, due to unpopularity and Beijing's displeasure, will not be running again.

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

Nope, his party lost the Presidency

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic

Yes, they were held.

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

Oh gosh yes, did they ever (as of now).

Betty White

Yes, although I won't count this because she passed away in 2021.

[Letiger]

It's only 1/3 through the year so I'm putting my vote in for things that haven't happened yet

2.They'll recommend at least 8

3.However many makes the numbers look good

4.No

5.Under 30,000

6.Raised 5 times

7.Both Houses

9.Way too hard to say, I don't know how many more weeks ol joe will take it

10.Indictment and acquittal

11.Yes

12.Yes and hopefully Desantis

13.Only if Joe croaks

15.Leader for LIFE, not just leader

21.Yes

[Ranger2]

At 4/27/22 05:22 PM, Letiger wrote: It's only 1/3 through the year so I'm putting my vote in for things that haven't happened yet

Sorry man, too late.

[Letiger]

At 4/28/22 08:28 PM, Ranger2 wrote:

At 4/27/22 05:22 PM, Letiger wrote: It's only 1/3 through the year so I'm putting my vote in for things that haven't happened yet

Sorry man, too late.

don't care

[EdyKel]

At 4/30/22 07:32 PM, TylerFromTexas wrote:

At 4/25/22 10:20 AM, Ranger2 wrote:

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine

Oh gosh yes, did they ever (as of now).

I hate it when I'm right...

You did better than I did on it. I was too optimistic that they wouldn't.

[Ranger2]

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes

There is the standard two-dose shot, plus two boosters, and now an omicron bivalent one, so I will count this as Yes.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region

No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

No

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
Yes

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes

Betty White
Yes

Angela Lansbury
Yes/No

[TurkeyOnAStick]

At 10/16/22 01:14 PM, Ranger2 wrote:

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes

Can’t believe @Gario and @Gimmick predicted this.

[EdyKel]

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 

Have been raised twice or more

I think they have raised it 5 times so far.

[EdyKel]

At 1/1/23 10:25 PM, TylerFromTexas wrote: So who won?

Pretty sure I did crappy on it...

[Ranger2]

At 1/1/23 10:25 PM, TylerFromTexas wrote: So who won?

Expect updates in a few days, I’ve been on vacation without a computer!

[Ranger2]

Hello folks, I will update the rankings by Sunday. Please let me know if you disagree with any of the results below!

1: In the United States, at least one of its five largest school districts will go fully remote due to the Omicron variant

No, schools remained open!

2: The CDC will begin recommending a fifth (5th) booster shot to any subset of people. 

Yes, you can get two boosters plus an omicron vaccine! I got mine; get yours!

3: The number of Covid deaths, around 805,000 at the end of 2021, will reach 

805,000-1.2 million

According to the CDC, it’s about 1.08 million US deaths

4: The People’s Republic of China will declare the pandemic over within its borders
Yes/No

Goodness no, not with the zero COVID (and sudden reversal)

5: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (around 36,000 at the end of 2021) will be

Between 30,000 and 40,000

On 12/30, the DJIA closed at around 33,147

6: The Federal Reserve has publicly announced it intends to raise interest rates to combat inflation. At the end of 2022, the US Federal interest rate will 
Have been raised twice or more/Have been raised once/Will not be raised/Will be lower

The fed has raised rates a whopping 7 times!

7: In the 2022 Congressional elections, Republicans will
Take the House only/Take the Senate only/Both/Neither

In a pathetic red wave, the GOP lost seats in the Senate and only took the house (speaker tbd)

8: Governor Brian Kemp of Georgia will win re-election
Yes/No, he will be primaried out of the race/No, he will lose the general election

Kemp managed to hold onto his job despite fierce opposition

9: Joe Biden will still be the incumbent president and Kamala Harris the incumbent vice-president at the end of 2022
Yes/No

Yes

10: The January 6th Commission will result in
Donald Trump’s indictment and conviction/ indictment and acquittal/ indictment but trial not until after 2022/ no indictment

No indictment, coming up on 2 years still nothing has happened

11: Donald Trump will officially announce his candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Yes, he officially announced his candidacy

12: Another Republican candidate will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

Not in 2022 at least

13: Another Democratic candidate besides Joe Biden will officially announce their candidacy for president in the 2024 election
Yes/No

No, Biden remains on top.

14: In the French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron will win re-election
Yes/No

Yes, he beat Le Pen again

15: The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party will vote to retain Xi Jinping as leader
Yes/No

Yes, Xi remains in power.

16: India will surpass China in population
Yes/No

Not yet

17: Australian PM, Scott Morrison will remain Prime Minister after Australia’s elections
Yes/No

No

18: Carrie Lam will win re-election as the Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Autonomous Region
Yes/No

No, she stepped down

19: At the end of 2021, the difference between China and the United States’ nominal GDP will be
Greater than 5 trillion/Less than 5 trillion

Greater, about 7 trillion

20: Chuuk will vote for independence from Micronesia

No

21: The People’s Republic of China armed forces will engage in combat with those of the Republic of China (Taiwan), with actual shots fired. (Not counting invasions of airspace.)

No

22: An end date for Operation Inherent Resolve will be announced
Yes/No

No

23: The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (Taliban) will receive official recognition by at least one other United Nations member state
Yes/No

No

24: In the Republic of Korea, the Democratic Party, (of which the incumbent President Moon Jae-In is a member) will win the presidential election

No

25: President Biden’s Build Back Better will be passed
Yes/No

No

26: The Beijing 2022 Olympics will still be held despite the COVID pandemic
Yes/No

Yes

27: The National Resistance Front of Afghanistan will recapture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

28: The Islamic State - Khorasan Province will capture a provincial capital in Afghanistan
Yes/No

No

29: Russia will seize more territory of Ukraine
Yes/No

oh golly yes, what an apt prediction

The following people will pass away [Not for points]

Queen Elizabeth II
Yes/No

Yes

Betty White
Yes/No

in 2021

Dick Van Dyke
Yes/No

No

Jimmy Carter
Yes/No

No

Jiang Zemin (fmr. Paramount Leader of the PRC)
Yes/No

Yes

William Shatner
Yes/No

No

James Earl Jones
Yes/No

No

Clint Eastwood
Yes/No

No

Angela Lansbury
Yes/No

Yes

Buzz Aldrin
Yes/No

No