...
Pretty short, and honestly, not overly exciting, buuut if you actually extend on it, I guess it'll be alright. I'm not really into the stick animation to the fair though.
The reason I'm commenting is just to suggest that you tone down on the raindrops at the beginning. I usually don't have frame rate issues on my computer on pretty much any flash, but you had so many ripples going that I could see the frame rate drop severely. Sure, I -could- reduce the quality, but seems a shame to have to do so just for one small part of what may one day be a long movie.
Whatever you decide, good luck. Keep at it, and you'll get better, fo' sho'.