Hello, everyone, and I hope you are having a very happy end of 2020. Since nobody took up the mantle for 2020 political predictions, I have returned to host a new round for 2021.
The rules are simple: Below are a series of predictions about upcoming events that are expected to happen in 2021. Reply by January 10th, 2021 to the questions. Each question will be worth one point. Throughout the year, I will keep tabs on who has made correct predictions. If one of these questions comes to fruition before January 10th, I will strike it from the count.
For ease of grading, each prediction will have a multiple choice format. Please do not try to write-in your own answer, or it will not be counted. With that said, enjoy!
1: Joe Biden will serve as President for the entirety of 2021 after inauguration
True / False
2: An arrest warrant will be issued for Donald Trump in 2021
True / False
3: By the end of 2021, the CDC's total number of reported US deaths due to COVID-19 (296,000 as of Dec 28, 2020)
Below 500,000 / Between 500,000 and 600,000 / Above 600,000
4: Independence referendums will be scheduled for
Scotland / Northern Ireland / Both/ Neither
5: Eurovision 2021 (cancelled in 2020 due to the pandemic) will play at its scheduled time in May 2021
Yes / No
6: After Angela Merkel steps down as Chancellor, her replacement will be
Christian Democratic Union / Social Democratic Party / Other
7: At the end of 2021, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu will
Still be Prime Minister / No longer be Prime Minister
8: At the end of 2021, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be
Above 31,000 / Below 31,000
9: The US Federal Interest Rate will be
Lower / Unchanged / Higher
10: Costa Rica will successfully become the world's first carbon-neutral country as it has planned
Yes / No
11: At the end of 2021, the difference between the US and China's GDPs ($6.5 trillion at the end of 2020) will be
Greater than $5 trillion / Less than $5 trillion
12: The US House of Representatives will vote on legislation regarding Puerto Rican statehood
Yes / No
13: Derek Chauvin, a police officer involved in the George Floyd incident will be found guilty of
Murder / Manslaughter / Acquitted
14: In the Hong Kong legislative elections, pro-Beijing parties will
Gain seats / Lose seats
15: The US Congress will pass another COVID relief bill involving checks to Americans
Yes / No
16: A deadline for withdrawal from Afghanistan will be announced by the US
Yes / No
17: A legislature of a US state will pass a resolution expressing support for secession from the United States
Yes / No
18: The Fulbright China and/or Fulbright Hong Kong programs will be revived, having previously been abolished by the Trump Administration over civil unrest in Hong Kong
Yes / No
19: Another Republican besides Trump will declare their candidacy for President of the United States in 2024
Yes / No