At 10/9/20 11:41 AM, SevenSeize4President wrote:At 10/9/20 10:49 AM, Sobolev wrote: Science denial from the NHCScience Denial from @Sobolev
That's ok---- ALL of the scientists and meteorologists and people with PhDs are WRONG and the random dude on newgrounds is most certainly right.
Super, SUPER arrogant dude.
There is no Cat 3 winds per recon...
They mentioned peak SFMR of 95 kt and FL winds of 107 too, in the discussion. So we are looking at the same data.
These plainly do not immediately support 115mph.
As I and another storm2k suggested, the decision to maintain Cat 3 status is simply because they want the public to be on high alert. They don't want to downgrade a storm near coast, but this decision is based on sociology rather than science.
If you want my honest opinion, in reality it is probably close to 105 mph. Does 10mph make a lot of difference? Probably not. But a change in Category does impact the public's perceived threats. So that's why they are inclined to keep it at 3 even though data only supports something less.
Other's opinion (not just mine)
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=121443&start=2480