At 9/25/12 05:34 PM, Feoric wrote: No, it's not, it's actually the centerpiece of their nuclear program, and I've done my best to demonstrate that to you. The only reason why you would say that is because you don't accept that all the concerns over the Iranian nuclear program are largely illegitimate, and so far you haven't done much to convince me that they're working on a nuke.
Then how do you explain the fact that France and Britain and at times Russia and China have gone along with the sanctions? Why did the security council unanimously (except Qatar) support the resolution for Iran to halt enrichment? Do we have France, Russia, and China in our pocket now, not to mention the other non-permanent members who were part of the council at the time? In fact, every UN resolution that either added sanctions or demanded an end to enrichment was passed with nearly unanimous support. It seems to me that the concern over Iran's nuclear program is shared by many nations who weren't involved in the Iranian coup and don't have unilateral sanctions in place against it.
Let's look at the report, shall we?
That's a pretty convoluted way of saying "they were no longer working on the development of a nuclear weapon after 2003, but they do some things that might be useful for weapons" which is absolutely useless as evidence of a nuclear program. There's nothing in the report that says its "likely" that they were continuing their program. Find the relevant text if I'm wrong.
I don't understand; you seem to think that there is no way Iran could carry out any weapon research without the IAEA discovering incontrovertible proof that it had happened, and that the organization decided to say that some aspects may be ongoing without any justification. Do you not believe it's possible that Iran could be conducting a secret nuclear weapons program and that they're doing it so well that there couldn't be any definitive evidence of it before they accomplished their goal? (Hint: the IAEA says that it is, otherwise they wouldn't say that they can't verify the peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program)
I didn't ask you if you agreed with the justification, only that you agreed that the chances for conflict increase with each unsatisfactory IAEA report.The IAEA reports are fodder for rhetoric for warharks, so there's a degree of separation there.
Direct quotes lifted from the reports are not "fodder for rhetoric," it's what the IAEA actually said.
I hope this was a freudian slip and not an actual position you would publicly state. We're now in Iraqi yellowcake territory, along with the mysterious CURVEBALL laptop, the September Dossier, the BushâEU"Blair memo, etc. Hows that for mitigating risk?
No, it's exactly the point I'm trying to make. Your demand for incontroverible evidence is just absurd because there will never BE incontrovertible evidence in these types of situations. I've read the US senate intelligence committee reports on the Iraq pre-war intelligence. With the exception of a few claims that were products of inefficient agency cooperation and filtering, the majority of the claims (like Saddam's chemical weapons program) were supported by intelligence. The only criticism anyone could make was that the intelligence reports didn't constantly hedge every assessment with "or we could be wrong." Nothing is ever certain, but that doesn't mean that the conclusions will always be wrong, neither does it mean we should always ignore what we don't know for certain.
Because they violated the NPT to begin with! This what the IAEA said in 2004 [...]This was in reference to 2003. Here is the report you're talking about, and let's show the relevant text:
"As indicated in those reports, Iran has made substantial efforts..."
Yeah, that's exactly what I said. Iran violated its agreements under the NPT. I'm not aware of any sections that say "any country that violates the NPT gets a reprieve so long as they don't do it again for a certain number of years," which is what I can only guess you're implying.