State Map Predictions

[IllustriousPotentate]

It's easy to predict who will win the election, as it's pretty much a 50/50 chance of getting it right.
It's not easy, however, to predict what states each candidate will win.

Save the map, and fill in the states with the appropriate colors (Red=Rep. Blue=Dem Yellow=Other).

Don't forget to fill in DC!

[IllustriousPotentate]

Here's my personal prediction.

[Al6200]

I don't think Obama will do quite that well. Here's how I'd call it:

The only solid Obama state where he ends up losing in is New Hampshire. In the primary, Obama led by double digits in some New Hampshire polls, but Hillary Clinton ended up winning by a tiny margin. I wouldn't be surprised if it happened again in the general election.

Obama loses is Florida and Ohio despite his current lead in the polls. I'm not sure that it will happen, but I suspect that Obama's talk about "spreading wealth" will hit a negative chord with people in Ohio, and that hispanics will have an usually large turnout in Florida and break Obama's lead.

That said, I expect Obama to outperform polls in both Virginia and North Carolina, because the black populations in those states will almost certainly have huge turnout. Also professionals who work in the DC area will likely not support McCain because of his somewhat weaker educational background.