At 10/26/06 04:54 PM, TheMason wrote:
If I remember correctly the Manhattan Project was underway well before 1944/45 when that article says the German tests took place.
Right, but the Germans and Japanese didn't know about it. I even doubt they knew of the Trinity tests. Besides, the Manhattan project was started because of the Einstein-Szilárd letter in which the authors made a reference to German efforts in gathering uranium. The German physicist Heisenberg even mentioned nuclear weapons to Bohr in 1941, before the Manhattan Project started in 1942.
If we should name the MAD-inspired peace we've witnessed in recent decennia after the US because they first completed a nuclear bomb then we could just as well name the peace after Einstein and Szilárd. Since they were both ethnic Jews we could name it "Pax Iudaea", we don't because, unlike the Deutsche Physik movement believed, atomic physics isn't an inherently Jewish science and nukes therefore aren't Jewish weapons, just like they aren't inherently American weapons and just like globalisation isn't an inherently American concept. The peace is created by the nukes themselves, not by those who partly contributed to their discovery because there are so many who made their contributions.
Furthermore, Hitler did not totally dismiss nuclear science (and yes he made a distinction between rocketry and physics...remember we're talking about a madman).
Good, that was what the link illustrated. Ans you also treated mechanics and physics as separate subjects, which is why I commented on it.
Hitler got involved in weapons development to the point of hindering it. However in some cases his engineers found ways around his sanctions (look up the history on the MP-45, the AK-47's predecessor).
Right, but not in the case of nuclear weapons. Even Hitler realised their potential to an extent where he didn't discard it as an impurity.
Iran and the DPRK are showing the world that the NPT has no teeth...
And maybe Germany and Fracne don't want to share the international allure of being a rogue nation with Iran and North Korea. They have partners they don't want to upset while your examples have a lot less valuable goodwill that they'd lose.
Lapis I truly respect your opinions and you often provide much insight. But here you are dealing in "what ifs"...it did not happen that way so you cannot use this argument to disprove a Pax Americana.
I don't think you're disputing the fact that possession of nuclear weapons deters other nations from invading, so I'll move on to the claim that nuclear weapons would have eventually been developped even without the Manhattan Project. Let's say we have three substances that cause a certain reaction and we want to know which of them are reagents and which are catalysts, the best way to check this is to remove one substance form the process and watch if the same reaction occurs. Since history isn't a laboratorial experiment so all we can do is making occurrences plausible.
Some ideas are so good that they're bound to be discovered. The art of writing, counting, gunpowder, the printing press, sets of laws and even calculus were discovered at diferent locations independently from each other. Nuclear energy provides some of the most powerful weapons available on earth and there was even ample research that suggested the existence of these weapons before the US government became involved. The Kaiser Wilhelm Institut had long been the centre of atomic research and the existence of the weapon had been widely hypothesised. Eventually, a breakthrough would have occurred, outside the US. This isn't a wild "what-if", it's simple logic.
They laid the foundation, now America is the steward of the ship.
And why name a historic process after the temporary steward? Let's say we have a market with about 15 corporations and one of them, company A, has the biggest market share. Now let's say the market suddenly starts growing - we would name the growth after company A if the growth was the direct result of that company, meaning that the growth wouldn't have occurred if company A hadn't taken any action. When all companies are responsible for the growth, however, we don't name it after company A for the reason that they're the "stewart".
Nixon visited China in 1972. China started achieving double digit growth in about 1975. Yes there were domestic factors in China that enabled the entrance of US investment into China...but there is a strong correlation there...
They had 19.4% growth as early as 1970, 1978 was a statistical outlier. Like they say in the article: 1983-85 Double-digit real GDP growth accompanied the first wave of foreign investment into China, and non-state enterprises started to develop. My estimate of about decade comes a lot closer. And FDI didn't boom until the nineties (picture).
Do you realize just how strong the animosity in the region is towards Japan? People talk about the ME and how ancient a conflict that is...that is nothing compared to Japan and China. Japan is not a natural market for China and vice versa...
And as the previous picture showed, that doesn't quite stop Japan from investing huge amounts of money into China, does it? Relations have been incredibly sour over the past few years, with Koizumi's visits to the Yasukuni Shrine and yet trade is blossoming. There's one thing that overcomes hostility and that's money: you don't have to like each other to make a profit and help your own economy.
Furthermore, Europe was looked at as repressive colonial powers and looked up very suspiciously. The US, while having some taint, was relatively free when compared to France and the UK...
Yeah, I find it hard to believe that you represent anyone but yourself with that viewpoint. The US was just as much involved in quelling the Boxer's revolt as most European nations, they supported Chiang Kai Shek more than any other nation and basically turned anti-Chinese Taiwan into a protectorate. If you have any evidence that whatever anti-Western feeling the Chinese have or had is more of an anti-European mood then please show me some evidence.