At 2/1/13 12:15 AM, Dimitrilium wrote:
You're obviously trolling or crazy. The front line is so large. Yes the rebels make progress, sometime they even make real victories happen, but it barely keep them afloat.
You shouldn't be so smarmy if you don't know what you're talking about. First off, there's absolutely arms smuggling going on in Daraa, and there is definitely unofficial support from US Special Forces and Saudi Arabia in the region. Keep in mind that the influx of these weapons is a relatively new phenomena. It's not exactly hard to see why: as the opposition controls more and more territory on the borders of Syria, it gives them a direct path to arm smuggling routes in an out of Lebanon and Turkey. The civil war in Syria is unconventional warfare. The survivability of the FSA in the long run depends on their ability to set up supply lines and other support networks to keep supplying the opposition troops. While capturing military airbases can provide supplies for short periods, it's important for the FSA to divert the brunt of attrition to Assad by controlling territory and setting up dedicated sources. You said the opposition isn't maintaining their presence over the ground they capture. Well, there's some folks in Aleppo that would like to respond to that.
To imply that the FSA is relying heavily foreign aide is flat out wrong. Let's just look at recent events:
Here's a good piece that breaks down the spoils when the opposition captured Taftanaz air base:
" - They destroyed or captured fifteen to twenty helicopters at the airfield. Most of these were Mi-8/17 utility helicopters, some of which had been equipped with rocket pods for an attack role. This represents approximately 20 percent of the regime's prewar active inventory of a much-relied-upon type of aircraft.
- They captured additional heavy weapons and large quantities of ammunition. Coupled with the freeing up of rebel forces, the equipment gains should boost the opposition's ability to assault other regime positions in the north and perhaps bring them under their control sooner. The battle will also be a huge boost for rebel morale, showing they can take even a major defended position.
- The regime was unable to prevent loss of the base, one of several such failures in the past few months. Damascus did not appear to make any serious attempt to reinforce the airfield or relieve the siege. The number of troops involved in the defense seemed relatively small, and they largely relied on heavy weapons and air power -- a regime pattern. In addition, at least some of the defenders were irregular soldiers from the pro-Assad "popular committees," not regular combat troops; some reports even indicate that officers were evacuated by air before the base fell."
There was also potentially thousands of rockets looted as well.
At 2/1/13 12:35 AM, Ceratisa wrote:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/15/world/middleeast/jihadists -receiving-most-arms-sent-to-syrian-rebels.html?pagewanted=a ll&_r=0
Jabhat al-Nusra, which is linked to al-Qaeda, is part of the opposition, along several splintered hardliner Islamist factions like Ahrar al-Sham. There's no way to prevent this from happening. The fall of Assad is just going to be the start of another brutal and ugly chapter for Syria when the inevitable tipping point is reached and these factions start fighting one another over control of the country.