At 10/16/09 02:21 AM, SadisticMonkey wrote:
So the government wastes TRILLIONS of dollars of money it doesn't have, and so the answer is to FORCE hard working Americans at the threat of their liberty to pay for it?
As the deficit was created by a reduction in taxes, it follows that inverting the cause of the problem would solve it.
Now, what this thread was (or at least, intended to be) about was the best way of raising revenue so as to cancel, or rather, reduce the debt burden. Professor Mankiw has suggested imposing a VAT, whereas I am more in favor of intensifying the income tax, for the reasons that were being discussed prior to your digression.
At 10/16/09 06:55 AM, Korriken wrote:
California, New York. Michigan. need I say more? ok fine then.
California, New York, and Michigan all place massive tax burdens in the rich. What happens? the Rich leave for states with less taxes. Every time these states need money they pump more taxes on the rich, and oddly enough, they're not drowning in money, to the contrary, they're broke! No one wants to open a business in California, no one wants to open a business in New York, and no one wants to open a business in Michigan.
Trickle Down? no need to mention it. The simple fact that businesses aren't started by those who sit on their front porch all day waiting for the mail man to show up with their welfare check should be enough.
The rich start businesses, the rich invest in businesses, the rich make money which can be taxed, While this happens people become employed who then can work and make money, which is taxed. Same people also buy stuff, which is taxed.
you overburden the rich, they will leave for a state with a lighter tax burden and bring their money and businesses with them. This is why the states with such a huge tax rate is overflowing with entitlement chasers and not many businessmen and multimillionaires.
and as so, if the federal government decides to place huge burdens on the rich, they can just as easily apply for and get visas to live elsewhere, and have the means to live there long enough to get citizenship.There are many places that would just LOVE to take in our wealthy businessmen.
This a nice example of the fallacy of composition, one of the most popular ones in economics. You say that, according to you, because a measure has had negative effects on states it will therefore have negative effects if it is imposed on the country as a whole.
Ignoring the dubious accuracy of your first statement, it does not follow that the effects imposed on an individual (or a subset of individuals) will have the same effects on the whole. One of the most clear examples is with the printing of money. If I print 100,000 dollars and hand them to you, you'll certainly be better off, since the expansion of the money supply will be minimal, you'll gain 100,000 dollars. However, if I were to do the same for every American, then the price level will certainly adjust to the massive printing.
Same happens with your example; a tax imposed on a State within the US is likely to be easily avoided by simply moving to other State, because most states are alike: they share the same customs, legal practices, educational levels, average incomes, etc, so moving from one state to the other is quite straight forward.
This is not the case for leaving the US. There are few countries to which a major reallocation of resources could take place (safe legal framework, highly qualified labor) if a tax hike were to take place, and they all have higher taxes than the US.
Wanna pay the debt? lower taxes so businesses can hire again, stop with piling on entitlements, begin ratcheting down entitlements, make people get jobs, and stop wasting money on frivolous things, and THEN you can begin to pay off the debt.
You seem to forget that lowering taxes is what has created the debt in the first place. You see, before the 80s, the US had a very basic yet effective fiscal policy: when we're at war, we take debt to pay for it, and then in peace years, we create surpluses to pay it back. This "law" was broken in the 80s with the beginning of the tax-cut policy, fixed in the 90s, and broken again in the year 2001.
Lowering taxes has been proved catastrophic for the coffers of the US Treasury.
However, I cannot fail to agree with the necessity of delaying the fiscal correction for a time where economic recovery is clear. This whole VAT idea, if you read the links I have provided to the discussion, is actually thought to resolve fiscal issues that will manifest themselves in 20 years or so.
that is common sense!
A final comment: common sense is the mental process laymen have. Us scientists rather use the scientific method.
At 10/16/09 08:21 AM, SadisticMonkey wrote:
Well, I'm not going to go into all my specific beliefs about economic policy, I'd like to make a few general points.
Firstly, I think the most important thing when dealing with this topic is to be pragmatic, highlighted by Korriken in his above post. Sure, even if we all agreed "taxing the hell out of the rich" was the best solution in terms of morality, in reality this clearly would, if anything, make the situation much worse.
I have already provided positive analysis of the impacts, read my reply to Al6200.
Secondly, following on from Korriken's points, if you want your economy to woek, you need to let the rich have money.
This is the kind of thing that really exposes the flaws in liberal "feel good" politics.
The less money the rich are able to have, the less jobs there are.
This is the lowest point in your argument. Macroeconomics, which handles the issue of unemployment, has never pointed in the direction you have stated.
For us to understand unemployment, we need to understand what are the underlying forces that determine it: as usual, demand and supply of the good, this time, input, labor.
Unemployment takes place where there is not enough demand of labor. Demand of labor depends on, the relationship between the wage the firm has to pay, and the amount of money the labor "bought" will generate.
Andthat's it. The firm compares the cost of labor with the revenue of the good that labor produces. If benefit>cost, then hires. What you can do is A) reduce costs (labor subsidy) B) increase benefit (increase demand, through stimulus). Since stimulus has a larger bang for the buck (because of its multiplier effects), it's what's being done.
Professor Frank has written a column on the subject
But again, this was not a discussion about counter-cyclical policies.
This was about fixing the long term fiscal standing of the US Treasury.