At 12/5/08 08:44 PM, Conspiracy3 wrote:
First of all, the sun is not a ball of fire.
Fine a giant ball of hydrogen converting to helium which creates a tremendous amount of heat and light.
Secondly, you don't understand the basic science behind global warming.
Yes I do.
The sun is the main cause of global warming, the greenhouse gasses just trap the heat absorbed by the earth causing it to warm.
I know this, what I'm saying is that the science doesn't add up, CO2 rises after the heat rise, not before, it cannot be the cause if it is the effect.
The website you mentioned claims that global warming started before hydrocarbon use, yet this isn't exactly true.
Actually if you read it, it shows that glacial melting started before hydrocarbon usage, not global warming in general. This means the melting glaciers global warmists warn ab out are a natural occurance.
It shows the trend beginning at around 1850, which is true, that is when the trend first started. However, ice core studies have shown that CO2 levels also started increasing then. Coal was already being burned at that time (actually it was burned from about a thousand years before that),
This is true, but if you look at the chart, the usage of coal was so minimal that to claim that it had an effect then is ludicrous if you look at the data, hydrocarbon usage has risen dramatically since those times. If the very little amount of coal being burned then was able to cause CO2 levels in the atmosphere to rise such a dramatic amount then we would be seeing the same thing on a greater scale today, yet we don't. The CO2 rise was a result of higher solar activity, not from coal burning.
and deforestation was very common. At that time deforestation was a bigger cause of global warming than hydrocarbon emission.
Deforestation rates started their dramatic decline in the 1980s. Yet hydrocarbon usage dramatically increased as early as 1850. There's gaps in your data.
However the amount of warming in the late 19th century is negligible to the speed that it is happening at now.
Oh so it's a short therm thing again, gotcha.
At 12/5/08 08:46 PM, Conspiracy3 wrote:
I also question the accuracy of the graph as I have googled it in search of other graphs and many sites show significantly different results.
Provide evidence of what you're saying and I suggest you read through the link next time before replying. You'll see that it is well credited.
At 12/5/08 10:08 PM, Musician wrote:
If you were to look at the climate change we've been experiencing over the last half century you would realize that since the mid-1900's the global climate has been rising at an alarming rate.
It's rising because we're coming out of the little ice age. When you come out of an ice age, usually the temperature rises...
What would be considered a normal year today would be considered a particularly warm year several decades ago.
Because it was closer to the ice age...
Do you have any reason be calling these scientists corrupt? Just pure bias?
What about the fact that putting "to study the effects it has on global warming" now gets you a government grant for any research you could possibly wish to do?
I'd like to study the effects of spicy foods on the rabbit population, in relation to it's effects on global warming
Here's your check for $50,000!
Well there's obviously more than several people causing this. Carbon Dioxide is a produced by all forms of industry and machinery. It adds up to a bit more than "some guys driving in their old 64's". I also agree that the sun has it's part in global warming, but Carbon Dioxide is playing the dominant role. There's just not enough sun activity to explain the recent increase in temperature.
What about the graph I've posted already that shows that arctic air temperature corresponds directly with solar activity while being completely unaffected by the increase in hydrocarbon usage?
And this demonization of CO2 is ridiculous. CO2 is a trace gas, it makes up 0.038% of the atmosphere. Water vapor is a much stronger greenhouse gas than CO2 yet the amount of average water vapor in the atmosphere is 1%.
I quote from my earlier linked article "Atmospheric temperature is regulated by the sun, which fluctuates in activity as shown in Figure 3; by the greenhouse effect, largely caused by atmospheric water vapor (H2O); and by other phenomena that are more poorly understood. While major greenhouse gas H2O substantially warms the Earth, minor greenhouse gases such as CO2 have little effect, as shown in Figures 2 and 3. The 6-fold increase in hydrocarbon use since 1940 has had no noticeable effect on atmospheric temperature or on the trend in glacier length."
At this point we are 1 degree lower than the medieval climate optimum, so it would be a good thing to see a rise in temperature actually. Warmer temperatures cause less storms, it's also known to raise comfort levels in humans and make them more amiable and empathetic.
And an alarming rate of warming?
" Figure 4: Annual mean surface temperatures in the contiguous United States between 1880 and 2006 (10). The slope of the least-squares trend line for this 127-year record is 0.5 ºC per century.
Surface temperatures in the United States during the past century reflect this natural warming trend and its correlation with solar activity, as shown in Figures 4 and 5. Compiled U.S. surface temperatures have increased about 0.5 °C per century, which is consistent with other historical values of 0.4 to 0.5 °C per century during the recovery from the Little Ice Age (13-17). This temperature change is slight as compared with other natural variations, as shown in Figure 6. Three intermediate trends are evident, including the decreasing trend used to justify fears of "global cooling" in the 1970s. "
The warming rate is at it's natural trend. I've gone ahead and posted figure 4 for you too see, as most of you are either skimming the article or outright ignoring it.
One more quote to try and bash this into your closed off minds
"During the current period of recovery from the Little Ice Age, the U.S. climate has improved somewhat, with more rainfall, fewer tornados, and no increase in hurricane activity, as illustrated in Figures 7 to 10. Sea level has trended upward for the past 150 years at a rate of 7 inches per century, with 3 intermediate uptrends and 2 periods of no increase as shown in Figure 11. These features are confirmed by the glacier record as shown in Figure 12. If this trend continues as did that prior to the Medieval Climate Optimum, sea level would be expected to rise about 1 foot during the next 200 years."
Yes, the US climate has improved. Oh and what? This article isn't biased! They clearly state that the sea level is rising, which is not a good thing, this isn't the article of some crazed foaming at the mouth right winger denouncing everything the left has to say or something like that, this is article is made by real climate scientists making observations on the climate. And what they've found is, hydrocarbon use does not make the climate warmer, we are in a natural trend proceeding at a natural rate and the climate is more stable than it was previously, but the sea level is rising.
At 12/5/08 11:22 PM, CBP wrote:
The warming of the Earth cause disruption in weather patterns, making some parts of the Earth colder. When you make a post, either seek our help if you need to know something or make a post that you have evidence for.
Disruption of weather patterns? Why then have we seen less hurricanes and tornados and more rainfall?
Those are all good things, how come they get classified as disruption?
Also, dude, telling someone to ask you for help to make a post is obscenely rude and narcissistic.
